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Since most stocks generally move in the
same direction as the S&P 500, it would be nice to know which direction this indicator
is headed. The following tables provide probabilities of S&P 500 movement. The
probabilities are based on what the S&P 500 has done in the past when in similar
conditions as they are today-(overbought... oversold... some where in between). For
example, the table might make a statement such as: There is a 5% chance that the S&P
500 will gain more than 1% tomorrow. The probabilities will be updated each market evening
sometime before 9:00 pm central time. |
S&P 500 Probabilities for
10/29/02 |
More than
1% Loss |
0% to 1% Loss |
0% to 1% Gain |
More than 1% Gain |
3% |
50% |
39% |
8% |
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S&P
500 Probabilities for 5 market days in the future
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More than
2% Loss |
0% to 2% Loss |
0% to 2% Gain |
More than 2% Gain |
5% |
38% |
51% |
6% |
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DAILY STOCK INFORMATION (PAGE) -
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