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QUOTE CHART OPINION

Tradewinds

By Chris Curran, Publisher and Editor, TradeWindsOnline.Net

March 28, 2003
space

On Thursday, the major indexes fell for the 3rd time in the past 4 sessions as market players digested the prospect of a longer drawn-out war with Iraq. Many sectors were directionless, but able to overcome earlier losses, led by Defense and Biotech shares. Chip and Banking stocks finished slightly red. The NASDAQ Composite remains pinned in a trading range between Monday’s gap crossing at 1,403 and Monday’s low at 1,368. A break of either of these levels is needed to clear up the index’s near-term direction. The June S&P 500 contract broke down to a new intraday low for the week, but was able to make up some lost ground, and continues to consolidate just above the 38% Fib retracement level of this month’s rally at 854.50

MAJOR INDEXES:
COMP- Reversal at 100-day MA support
INDU- Hammer at 67-day MA support
SPX- Doji at 67-day MA support
NEW PLAYS:
 
STOCKS TO WATCH:
Daily Pivot Points 

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SECTOR AND INDICES
BTK- Reversal at 200-day MA support
DRG- Spinning top at 100-day MA support
GSO- Market structure high at 20-day MA support & 50-day MA resistance
HMO- Hanging man
HUI- Market structure high
IIX- Market structure high
NWX- Testing 20-day MA & 100-day MA support
RLX- Gravestone reversal, market structure high at 200-day MA resistance
SOX- Testing 200-day MA support
XBD- Market structure high at 200-day MA resistance
XTC- Market structure high
Futures, ETFs, & HOLDRs
ESM3- Doji at 67-day MA support
NQM3- Bearish engulfing line
SMH- Testing 200-day MA support
Swing Strategy
space

Our strategy is to enter with an initial risk of 2-3% and a first profit objective of 5-6%. At 5-6%, we want to take profits on ˝ the position, and then follow the rest with a trailing stop, preferably just under/over the previous day's lo/hi. This is nothing but a guideline. Market conditions and the stock's behavior should be considered at all times.

If a stock gaps significantly through the entry in the direction of the trade, wait for it to take out the first 15-minute high on long trades, or the first 15-minute low on short trades. This simple rule will ensure that there is follow-through, and will avoid many gap reversals that are so common.

DISCLAIMER:
This column is an information and education service only. The information provided herein is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities of any kind. The information provided has been obtained from sources deemed reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. Tradewinds is not a registered investment advisor. Tradewinds shall not be liable for any damages or costs of any type arising out of or in any way connected with the services of the company. Reprint or reproduction of this newsletter is strictly prohibited.

About Chris Curran

Chris Curran combined his 14 years of trading knowledge and experience, and his love for the Ocean to form the concept for Tradewinds (www.tradewindsonline.net). A native St. Louisana with a background in Finance, Chris uses a trading style that is a mix of momentum and technical analysis to create a Traders Community that is meant to be educational as well as profitable for its members. Chris believes that it is of utmost importance to explain the "hows and whys" of trading to take some of the mystery out of the trading phenomenon.


Please Read Our Disclaimer

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